SAIL Study Reviews Safety of Avastin in Lung Cancer Among >2000 Patients: Few Surprises (Fortunately)


This morning, Joe provided a link to a story about the Safety of Avastin in Lung cancer (SAiL) study, which is just being published in Lancet Oncology.  This is not really a new, original study, but rather a post-approval commitment from Roche to generate a registry of real-life experience using the anti-angiogenic agent Avastin (bevacizumab) in lung cancer patients and document safety: the primary goal is to determine whether new, concerning safety signals occur in a broader clinical practice than the initial, well-controlled studies.

The SAiL study reviewed clinical experience of 2212 chemo-naive patients (2166 with adequate safety tissue available to review)  with stage IIIB or IV NSCLC who were enrolled from over 40 centers outside of the US and otherwise pretty widely around the world, to receive Avastin combined with platinum-based chemotherapy.  With a median age of just 58.8 years, this was clearly a young and presumably somewhat cherry-picked lung cancer population than the broader population, since the median age of a new diagnosis of lung cancer in the US is now just over 70 years old.   About half of the patients (49%) received a carboplatin doublet, 38% received a cisplatin doublet, and the rest received a triplet, switched part-way through, a singlet, or some other rather creative option.  Avastin was given every three weeks and could be given at either a lower dose (7.5 mg/kg) or higher dose (15 mg/kg), though the vast majority of patients were given the higher dose that is approved in the US and was used in the ECOG 4599 trial that demonstrated a significant survival benefit when added to standard chemotherapy.

They key point was that in a much broader world experience with Avastin, bleeding and other potentially serious risks were not elevated above what was observed in the initial trials based at academic centers.  Grade 3 or greater bleeding (moderate to severe or even fatal) occurred in 4% of patients, while 6% of patients had thromboembolic complications (any grade).  The study also allowed patients with treated brain metastases to receive Avastin and noted that only 5 of 281 experienced any bleeding complications.  It also compared toxicities in younger vs. older patients (though with an uncharitable and not especially illuminating cut-off of 65 to divide the groups) and didn’t demonstrate a difference in adverse effects by age, unlike the ECOG trial for which a subset analysis demonstrated that patients over 70 did not benefit from the addition of Avastin, very likely because they experienced disproportionate toxicity compared with younger patients.

One other interesting analysis was undertaken, in which the investigators looked at outcomes of the 580 patients who developed significant hypertension (high blood pressure) and compared the results with the 1586 who didn’t.  Interestingly, those who developed hypertension had a higher median progression-free survival (8.7 vs. 7.2 months) and especially overall survival (18.8 vs. 12.9 months).  Provocative, and maybe easily to discount as an aberration in one study, except that the same finding was observed in the ECOG 4599 trial, as reviewed in my prior post on this association of hypertension with improved outcomes with Avastin and potentially other anti-angiogenic agents.

It’s important to realize that this “study” wasn’t really a rigorous study comparable to many others that we discuss here, since it was really a registry in which investigators were essentially paid to report on what they were inclined to do anyway, as long as it included Avastin.  Still, it amounts to a global report on over 2000 patients treated in a wide range of settings and demonstrates that they appeared to do every bit as well, and perhaps better, than the patients on the more restrictive Avastin trials.  Patients in this broader experience didn’t experience higher rates of serious toxicities than expected, so physicians appear to be able to select appropriate candidates well (as Dr. Pinder noted in her comment on the thread with the link above), which should provide us reassurance.  Though people may be reading about how Avastin’s approval for breast cancer may well be reversed based on ongoing review of its benefit in that setting, this work suggests that the right patients may do very well with it and not experience unanticipated toxicity risks.  Moreover, it also provides support for the concept that development of hypertension on Avastin may be associated with doing particularly well, though there is still more that we need to learn about this intriguing observation.

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Posted in: Anti-angiogenic agents, First-line treatment, Lung Cancer, Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC), Stage IV/Advanced/Metastatic NSCLC, Treatment

3 Comments  

neilb
Posted on July 25, 2010 at 10:09 am

I actually think registries like this one (and perhaps an overall NSCLC registry that attempts to include all patients) are the wave of the future. The incredibly large number of cases allows for testing all sorts of hypotheses, and the large N allows researchers to control statistically for a variety of differences. It also gets by the reluctance of people to participate in clinical trials. If everyone gets what their doctor considers the best treatment (and different docs have different opinions), a variety of questions can be answered. In order for this to happen, researchers will have to stop worshiping at the altar of randomization (many disciplines don’t have the option of randomization; for instance, I can’t assign one state to elect a Republican governor and another a Democrat when I’m studying the influence of party on economic policy), and embrace the advantages of multivariate statistical analysis.–Neil


Dr West
Posted on July 25, 2010 at 11:19 am

True, and there’s definitely value in outcomes from large cohorts, but there are some questions about whether these registries may be more cherry picked in terms of who goes on them, or that the data may not be as rigorously collected as in a better defined, full-fledged clinical trial. With less oversight and more discretion left to the local physician, there’s a greater chance that a symptom could go unreported or attributed to something that other people would clearly relate to the study drug.

My feeling is that they definitely can provide useful information, but the loose structure makes me kind of feel that “you get what you pay for” in terms of the ability to andwer clinical questions definitively, since there are far fewer variables controlled than in a prospective trial. I don’t consider them substitute, but certainly they can supplement what we learn from prospective randomized controlled clinical trials.


neilb
Posted on July 25, 2010 at 1:52 pm

Your objections about reporting issues make sense to me. The cherry-picking is somewhat less of an issue since both “sides” of whatever debate would be equally cherry-picked. I just think we need to turn the most awful thing about lung cancer (the number of people it affects) into a positive to find better treatments. I envision a registry (probably government-run) that covers all 200,000 people with lung cancer each year. You’d have about 100,000 data points just of people with metastatic NSCLC. Coding could involve dozens or hundreds of variables (the reason for the government involvement would be that someone would have to pay the docs to do the work). Let’s say you wanted to test the age-old question of whether there’s a difference in effectiveness between cisplatin and carboplatin (and let’s assume for sake of this example that the “real” answer is there is no difference). You might start by running a regression where overall survival is the dependent variable and cisplatin-based is the only independent variable (you’d only include the 50,000 or so annual cases where someone got one of those doublets as first line treatment for Stage IIIB or IV NSCLC). Somewhat surprisingly, the regression equation shows that those who got cisplatin had an overall survival that is 3 months longer than those who got carboplatin (and with 50,000 datapoints, the result is of course signficant for p<.001). But of course there’s an obvious flaw here (probably several, but let’s just focus on one). Docs are more likely to give more fit patients cisplatin and less fit patients carboplatin. And we already know that performance status is perhaps the most important determinant of overall survival. Once you plug performance status into the equation (literally), the coefficient for the cisplatin variable goes to zero. Just by using the registry, we’re able to determine that cisplatin is no better than carboplatin (and practice changes, since there’d be no more reason to subject even very fit patients to cisplatin). Of course, more sophisticated analyses could examine interactions between variables and perhaps determine which subset of patients might actually benefit from cisplatin. All of this would be done without randomization (the statistical analysis performs an analagous function). Everyone would be getting what their doctor thinks is their best treatment.

That’s just one simple example, but, with the caveats you express, I think this is a huge improvement of what we have now.–Neil