GRACE :: Lung Cancer

lung cancer screening

American Academy of Family Physicians Denies Utility of Chest CT Screening: A Harmful Slight to the Lung Cancer World


This week, the American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) elected to not follow the lead of the more influential US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), which previously reviewed the information on chest CT screening for high risk patients and recommended it, and said that there is insufficient evidence to support chest CT screening.

The specific arguments were that, when the evidence from the National Lung Screening Trial is combined with some other, less definitive studies, there wasn’t a clear enough signal of benefit to support chest CT screening, per Dr. Doug Campos-Outcalt, MD, MPA, the AAFP liaison to the USPSTF.

“People need to understand that their life expectancy could be extended by this, but on the other hand, their life expectancy could be shortened by it,” Dr. Campos-Outcalt said in a statement. “If they’re currently smoking, a better thing to do by far is to stop smoking.”

Continue reading

Can Lung Cancer be Clinically Insignificant? The Case for “Overdiagnosis” and “Overtreatment” of Lung Cancer


For all too many people with lung cancer or caring for someone with it, the concept that lung cancer may not be threatening may seem sacrilegious.  It is, after all, by far the leading cause of cancer deaths in the US in both men and women, far ahead of both breast cancer and prostate cancer in its fatality rate, though breast cancers and prostate cancers are more commonly diagnosed in women and men respectively.  Yes, lung cancer is far more deadly than those two cancers, but both breast and prostate cancer are diagnosed in tens of thousands of people who aren’t truly threatened by it.   The world has been slow to recognize that lung cancer can also sometimes be minimally threatening, but it’s worth discussing that possibility.  And it shouldn’t lead us to minimize the danger of lung cancer any more than we should become complacent about handling deadly snakes just because there are some that are are perfectly safe.  In the real world, a far greater proportion of lung cancers than snakes are deadly, but the main idea is that we should consider each based on individual characteristics.  It is absolutely possible to “over-treat” a lung cancer.

This issue became newsworthy because of a new article in JAMA Internal Medicine that did a very complex calculated analysis (i.e., I didn’t understand it) of the lung cancers detected in the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) and concluded that 18.5% of the lung cancers detected by chest CT screening and 22.5% of non-small cell lung cancers represented an “overdiagnosis” — a cancer that was detected but that would not be clinically relevant (as the numbers reflect, this is rarely a concern for small cell lung cancer).  For bronchioloalveolar carcinoma (BAC), which is often indolent (and especially likely when detected as a solitary lesion), up to nearly 80% of these lesions were potentially overdiagnosed cancer. 

As someone who sees the clinical behavior of hundreds of cases of lung cancer ever year, I’m here to tell you that this seems about right. This doesn’t mean that I don’t believe in CT screening for lung cancer: the NLST trial showed a 20% improvement in lung cancer-specific survival, which to me illustrates that screening for lung cancer is valuable. But it’s also worth knowing two things:

1) Not all lung cancers are life threatening.

2) There is a real risk of overtreating some lung cancers, causing more harm than benefit by treating it.

Continue reading

Who Should Have Lung Cancer Screening? Not Everyone. Value FAR Greater in Those at Highest Risk


The most pivotal study supporting the value of screening for lung cancer is the National Lung cancer Screening Trial (NLST), which revealed a 20% improvement in overall survival in patients with sufficiently high risk of lung cancer and who underwent an annual chest CT scans vs. chest x-ray over a three year period.   This significant benefit was seen in patients who were sufficiently high risk for lung cancer — patients age 55-75 and with at least a 30 “pack-year” smoking history (the product of number of years smoking x average number of packs smoked per day).

But even after this survival benefit was seen,there has been plenty of controversy that followed. Screening chest CT scans detects not only some true, life threatening lung cancer but also many, many  benign lung nodules in people who undergo these scans. News of such nodules often cause people cause tremendous anxiety, along with a need for additional imaging and often invasive procedures to clarify whether the detected nodules are more likely to represent a benign finding or a real cancer.

Some patients and many institutions favor extending the screening of high risk patients to those at significantly lower risk, such as those who are younger, have minimal smoking history, perhaps even a never-smoker with a family history.   But there is a real danger that if screening is applied people at low risk of actually having lung cancer, it’s far more likely that any nodules detected will be benign but will still lead to all of the anxiety, extra scans, and sometimes invasive procedures… just not to lives saved from lung cancer.

Why do screening on people who are at lower risk? Many people are nervous about lung cancer, and some institutions that make money by doing scans and procedures may be more than happy to oblige them or even feed their fears. We need to be judicious about how to use CT screening for lung cancer in a way that can save the most lives but lead to a minimal amount of extra scans, unneeded biopsies, and profound anxiety.

What is remarkably instructive as we struggle with these issues is a a new analysis of the results from the NLST study that stratified eligible patients by level of risk, which demonstrates the real risks of lung cancer vs. “false positives” — cases where the nodules required action and probably caused anxiety, but it wasn’t cancer.  The investigators looked at a wide range of relevant variables for risk of lung cancer (age, sex, years since quitting, pack-years of tobacco exposure, family history, etc.), then divided the participants into 5 quintiles (5 equally sized groups).  As we would expect, major differences were noted in the efficacy and significance of an abnormal result depending on whether people eligible for the NLST were higher or lower on the risk spectrum. Continue reading

Growing Endorsement of Chest CT Screening for Lung Cancer: Why Aren’t We Doing It?


I just did a brief video for Swedish Medical Center on the issue of low dose CT screening for lung cancer, which has been proven to improve survival.  Though Dr. Otis Brawley, Chief Medical Officer of the American Cancer Society, just wrote a book about the risk of over-diagnosis of cancer, the ACS has just officially endorsed lung cancer screening, recognizing its value.

The only problem is that it really isn’t being done. I discuss a bit on the resistance to screening here:

Continue reading

Why shouldn’t we do screening for lung cancer on everyone?


A post on makes the case that screening the higher risk population of just those people 55-75 with a significant smoking history, as was done in the influential National Lung Cancer Screening Trial (NLST) published last year in the New England Journal of Medicine, would miss nearly 3 of 4 lung cancers even as this effort improves lung cancer survival by 20% in the screened population. This piece implies that broader screening across of a wider range of ages and smoking history would be appropriate in order to detect more lung cancer and improve outcomes.   So let me make two points.

1) I am a proponent of lung cancer screening for an appropriate population and think it’s underutilized now.

2) It is categorically incorrect to presume that broadening screening to a wider population will lead to better outcomes.


Ask Us, Q&A
Lung/Thoracic Cancer Expert Content



GRACE Cancer Video Library - Lung Cancer Videos




2015 Acquired Resistance in Lung Cancer Patient Forum Videos


Join the GRACE Faculty

Breast Cancer Blog
Pancreatic Cancer Blog
Kidney Cancer Blog
Bladder Cancer Blog
Head/Neck Cancer Blog

Subscribe to the GRACEcast Podcast on iTunes


Email Newsletter icon, E-mail Newsletter icon, Email List icon, E-mail List icon

Subscribe to
   (Free Newsletter)

Other Resources


Biomedical Learning Institute